Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.016343 0.019013 0.021962 0.025457 0.029484 0.033977 0.039368
2025-12-21 0.012240 0.015655 0.019774 0.025101 0.031794 0.039917 0.050514
2025-12-28 0.010197 0.014143 0.019278 0.026424 0.036086 0.048668 0.066268
2026-01-04 0.008506 0.012674 0.018469 0.027071 0.039467 0.056625 0.082115
2026-01-11 0.006868 0.010920 0.016902 0.026313 0.040670 0.061654 0.094540
2026-01-18 0.005752 0.009700 0.015853 0.026053 0.042427 0.067552 0.108841
2026-01-25 0.004795 0.008540 0.014678 0.025353 0.043316 0.072130 0.121579
2026-02-01 0.004069 0.007625 0.013731 0.024836 0.044346 0.076946 0.135159
2026-02-08 0.003513 0.006905 0.012986 0.024516 0.045604 0.082197 0.149976
2026-02-15 0.003008 0.006188 0.012131 0.023852 0.046124 0.086175 0.162969
2026-02-22 0.002783 0.005968 0.012150 0.024786 0.049638 0.095791 0.187080
2026-03-01 0.002483 0.005547 0.011718 0.024783 0.051354 0.102270 0.206069
2026-03-08 0.002131 0.004967 0.010902 0.023930 0.051361 0.105646 0.219790
2026-03-15 0.001886 0.004577 0.010420 0.023697 0.052587 0.111532 0.239160
2026-03-22 0.001796 0.004523 0.010645 0.025003 0.057192 0.124709 0.274823
2026-03-29 0.001663 0.004347 0.010575 0.025644 0.060442 0.135447 0.306619
2026-04-05 0.001457 0.003955 0.009954 0.024938 0.060600 0.139636 0.324856
2026-04-12 0.001306 0.003676 0.009556 0.024697 0.061782 0.146164 0.348941
2026-04-19 0.001151 0.003359 0.009018 0.024036 0.061881 0.150265 0.367987
2026-04-26 0.001024 0.003096 0.008574 0.023546 0.062322 0.155180 0.389442
2026-05-03 0.000921 0.002882 0.008225 0.023243 0.063182 0.161157 0.414037
2026-05-10 0.000817 0.002643 0.007776 0.022613 0.063120 0.164897 0.433613
2026-05-17 0.000782 0.002608 0.007879 0.023500 0.067148 0.179149 0.480808